Why the Fed Cut may not improve mortgage rates

Don't shoot the messenger

One of the most widely misunderstood dynamics of my business is the belief that a Fed rate cut immediately lowers mortgage rates.  Well, I hate to break it to you, but the Fed doesn't touch mortgage rates; however they make monetary policy changes that shake our world and yes... interest rates.  So allow me to support my "click-bait" headline with some comments and fact. 

The main fact is that the Fed doesn't directly touch mortgage rates.  The Fed sets a target for the "fed funds rate" after reviewing mountains of current economic data. The rate that they tweak is the interest rate banks charge each other for overnight loans. Those loans are called fed funds, which lowers the as the Fed lowers interest rates.  This change, albeit small or great, has great impact on the markets.  But the way it moves mortgage rates is quite the conundrum.  I'll explain... 

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China retaliates... mortgage rates drop

The Headline was pretty somber

China is raising tariffs on $60 billion of US goods starting June 1.  The markets are selling off.  As of 9:27am, the futures are down over 500 and the stock markets are set to slide again for the second week in a row.

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Rates are trending higher

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Are interest rates going up?

We may be in for an Interest Rate crash

Rates have been going in the right direction for quite a while and I don't see the air leaking out of the tires just yet; however as I'll explain, the charts make me nervous! 

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February Home Sales Jumped to an 11-Month High

It’s good to get data from all over. But somehow when you get it from the U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, it seems even more official.

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Conventional and Government (FHA and VA) lenders set their rates based on the pricing of Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) which are traded in real time, all day in the bond market. This means rates or loan fees (mortgage pricing) moves throughout the day, being affected by a variety of economic or political events. When MBS pricing goes up, mortgage rates or pricing generally goes down. When they fall, mortgage pricing goes up. 

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Mortgage Q&A with Rick Episode 1

15 vs 30, tricks with PMI, buying down your interest rate and when to lock in

As I start these episodes, I'm reminded of the encouragement I got from an employee of mine. He told me that I give a lot of great advice and have been blessed with much wisdom in my field... that it's a shame to not have it all written down somewhere for others to learn from. It's for that purpose, I've been intent on including in this blog advice I give to my clients, team and business partners during my time as a loan officer.

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What are the Factors That Impact Your Interest Rate?

It’s no secret that a lower interest rate can mean significant savings over the life of your mortgage. Although interest rates are largely dictated by market performance, there are other factors that influence the rate you receive. When comparing your loan options, it helps to know how your interest rate was derived and what mistakes to avoid when shopping around.

In addition to market performance, home loan interest rates are influenced by six major factors: loan amount, loan type, loan duration, discount points, closing costs, and credit score.

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6 Factors that prove buying is better than renting

Making The Right Decision

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